UK GDP Miss and Sticky Inflation Complicate BoE’s Path to Rate Cuts Article published on March 18th, 2025 3:00AM UK Time The latest UK GDP data came in softer than expected, with January GDP contracting by -0.1% MoM, missing consensus estimates of +0.1%. This decline was driven by weakness in manufacturing, oil and gas extraction, … Read more
Tariff Uncertainty Weighs on Global Markets Article published on March 17th, 2025 8:15AM UK Time On April 2, global trade tensions will escalate further, with several significant tariff-related developments set to take effect: Suspension of Tariff Exemptions for Canada and Mexico: The U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on multiple goods from both countries, marking … Read more
The Power of Patience: Why Waiting for a Strong Calendar Deviation Matters in Trading Article published on March 14th, 2025 3:45AM UK Time It’s no secret—doing nothing is hard. As traders, we’re wired for action. A study published in Science revealed that many people find being alone with their thoughts so unbearable that they would … Read more
BoC Holds at 2.75%, Market Eyes Future Cuts Amid Trade Uncertainty Article published on March 12th, 2025 3:00AM UK Time The Bank of Canada (BoC) opted to hold its policy rate at 2.75%, in line with market expectations, while signaling a cautious approach amid rising inflationary risks and trade tensions. Despite speculation over a more … Read more
Bank of Canada Poised for Further Rate Cut Amid Intensifying Trade Tensions Article published on March 12th, 2025 4:00AM UK Time US Inflation Set to Moderate, But Tariff Risks Loom Market attention is firmly on the upcoming US CPI report, with analysts expecting February headline inflation to rise 0.3% M/M (down from 0.5% in January), … Read more
Bank of Canada Poised for Further Rate Cut Amid Intensifying Trade Tensions Article published on March 11th, 2025 4:15AM UK Time The Bank of Canada (BoC) is anticipated to reduce the target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points FROM 3.0% to 2.75% in its upcoming policy meeting. Market probabilities currently assign an 89% … Read more
NFP Preview – Key Levels to Watch for USD & Equities Article published on March 7th, 2025 2:00AM UK Time Soft Data Signals Weakness, But Hard Data Holds the Key As we approach the March 7th Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, market sentiment is cautious following a run of weak US economic data. However, much of … Read more
Daily Market Brief: ECB Rate Cut Expected, but Policy Language Holds the Key Article published on March 6th, 2025 1:30AM UK Time The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to cut rates by 25bps on Thursday, March 6, lowering the Deposit Rate to 2.5%—an outcome that markets have already fully priced in with a 96% … Read more
SNB Policy Outlook: Inflation Risks and Market Expectations for Rate Cuts Article published on March 5th, 2025 1:30AM UK Time The Swiss National Bank (SNB) remains firmly committed to price stability, with recent commentary from policymakers reinforcing the central bank’s readiness to act if needed. With inflation running low and likely to dip further, market … Read more
China’s Two Sessions – Market Expectations and Policy Signals Article published on March 4th, 2025 5:45AM UK Time China’s annual Two Sessions meetings, a key political and economic event, are set to unfold this week, with the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) commencing on March 4th and the National People’s Congress (NPC) following on … Read more
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