Month: February 2025

Tariffs, Tax Cuts, and the USD: The Next Market Drivers Article published on February 28th, 2025 6:00AM UK Time According to ING several factors have contributed to recent declines in US Treasury yields, signaling market hesitation over fiscal and monetary policy dynamics: 1️⃣ Fiscal Efficiency Measures – So far, $55 billion in cost savings have … Read more

CAD Outlook: Q4 GDP in Focus Amid Tariff Uncertainty Article published on February 27th, 2025 6:30AM UK Time Canada’s Q4 GDP Data to Provide Key Economic Insight The December and Q4 GDP figures, set for release on Friday, will be closely watched by markets and the Bank of Canada (BoC) as policymakers assess the strength … Read more

PCE Inflation in Focus as Fed Maintains Caution Article published on February 25th, 2025 5:00AM UK Time Markets Await January PCE Data Investors are closely watching the release of January’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. The headline PCE is expected to rise 0.3% M/M, holding steady from December, while … Read more

ECB Policy Outlook Remains Uncertain Ahead Of ECB Minutes Article published on February 25th, 2025 8:00AM UK Time The European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a widely expected 25bps rate cut, cutting the Deposit Rate to 2.75% at their last meeting. Policymakers emphasized a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach while avoiding firm commitments to further easing. Although the … Read more

Trump’s Tariff Playbook 2.0: A Market Opportunity in Disguise? Article published on February 24th, 2025 8:00AM UK Time Trump’s return to the White House in 2025 has reignited discussions around tariffs, particularly his proposal for heavy tariffs on Chinese imports and a blanket tariff on all foreign goods. At first glance, such a policy seems … Read more

Eurozone PMI Preview: Can the EUR Find Stability? Article published on February 21st, 2025 6:00AM UK Time With the release of the Eurozone’s February Flash PMIs on Friday, February 21, markets are keenly watching for signals on economic health and inflationary pressures. This data will be critical ahead of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) March … Read more

US Debt Ceiling: Market Risks and Historical Trends Article published on February 20th, 2025 8:30AM UK Time The US debt limit, also known as the debt ceiling, is the maximum amount of money that the US federal government is legally allowed to borrow to meet its financial obligations. This includes paying for government spending programs, … Read more

How to Use the VIX: Understanding the Market’s Fear Gauge Article published on February 18th, 2025 8:00AM UK Time In financial markets, fear and uncertainty often drive some of the most volatile price swings. The VIX (Volatility Index), commonly referred to as the “fear gauge,” plays a crucial role in helping traders and investors assess … Read more

UK Labour Market Data in Focus: Sterling Faces Key Tests Article published on February 17th, 2025 9:00AM UK Time The upcoming UK labour market report for the three months to December is expected to show a modest uptick in unemployment to 4.5% from 4.4%, alongside an increase in ex-bonus earnings growth to 5.8% from 5.6%. … Read more

PCE Expectations Revised Lower: Weakening USD, Supporting Equities Article published on February 14th, 2025 6:00AM UK Time Key Takeaways from the Latest Data PCE Expectations Have Softened The median forecast for core PCE is now 0.27% M/M, lower than previous concerns that it could track CPI’s stronger 0.45% M/M print. Year-over-year, core PCE is expected … Read more