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Waiting for the UK GDP: What Will It Show? Today’s UK labor data has delivered a complex picture, setting the stage for tomorrow’s GDP release, which could significantly impact the pound’s direction. On one hand, payrolled employees decreased by 59,000, or 0.2%, in August 2024—marking a concerning development for wage-earners. This fall follows a downwardly … Read more

US Labor Market: Deteriorating but Not Collapsing Recent labor market data for the U.S. shows signs of a slowdown, but it’s not a full-blown collapse. In August 2024, the economy added 142,000 jobs—falling short of expectations of 160,000 but still a notable improvement from July’s downwardly revised 89,000. Key sectors such as construction (+34K) and … Read more

ed Blackout Period: What It Means for Markets Fed Blackout Period: What It Means for Markets The Federal Reserve has officially entered its blackout period ahead of the September 19th FOMC meeting. During this time, no Fed officials are allowed to make public statements, leaving markets in a holding pattern. The next major focus is … Read more

Gold’s Path Higher: Weak Labor Data and Key Economic Releases in Focus The Federal Reserve is walking a tightrope as it approaches the September 18 meeting, with the focus now squarely on the labor market. Under its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, the Fed has made considerable progress on controlling inflation, but … Read more

Gold’s Outlook: Will Weak Labor Data Push It Higher? The U.S. labor market has taken center stage as we approach the highly anticipated September 18 Federal Reserve meeting. With the STIR market currently pricing in four full rate cuts by year-end, there’s increasing speculation that one of the remaining three Fed meetings could deliver a … Read more

Gold’s Path Higher: Weak Labor Data and Key Economic Releases in Focus Gold is finding strong support, with the dollar weakening and real yields on the decline. Today’s economic releases, especially the ISM Services data and critical employment reports, could provide the fuel for gold to continue its path higher. Traders are paying close attention … Read more

ISM Services: Another Trigger for Dollar Moves? Employment Data in Focus Today, all eyes are on the ISM Services data, which could be a key driver of dollar moves, especially as it coincides with critical employment releases. With the service sector still a major pillar of the US economy, a print below 49.6 on the … Read more

CAD Under Pressure: What Bank of Canada Might Do Today The Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision today is widely anticipated to result in a 25-basis-point cut, with about 80% of market participants pricing in this outcome. This expectation is based on a combination of rising unemployment and a slowdown in inflation, which has put … Read more

Why September Spells Trouble for Stocks September is known among market participants as the most challenging month for US stocks, and historical data spanning nearly a century backs this claim. For the last 96 years, the S&P 500 has consistently underperformed during September, a pattern that’s been especially evident over the past decade in the … Read more

Dollar/Yen: Extended Downside, But for How Long? The extended downside in Dollar/Yen has traders asking: Will strong U.S. jobs data reverse the trend? Key levels are in focus as we approach a critical week. Dollar/Yen has experienced a significant sell-off, pushing the pair to levels that are increasingly capturing market attention. This extended downside has … Read more