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Welcome to the 4-Part Fundamental Analysis Course for Beginners

Video 1: What is Fundamental Analysis?

Key Takeaways:

  • • Why 80% of trading should be looking ahead (fundamentals) vs 20% in the rear-view mirror (charts)
  • • How central banks use tools like interest rates, quantitative easing, and language to move currencies
  • • Understanding economic indicators: production, employment, growth, inflation, and geopolitical events
  • • The 4-step process to find trades from news articles
  • • Why news is never fully priced in instantly - how institutional money moves over time

Video 2: 3 Mistakes That Cause Traders to Fail

The 3 Critical Mistakes:

  • • Mistake #1: Over-Leveraging - Using too much leverage and risking more than you can afford to lose
  • • Mistake #2: Trading Solely on Technical Analysis - Ignoring the fundamental drivers that professionals watch
  • • Mistake #3: Switching Strategies - Constantly jumping between systems instead of mastering one approach
  • • Warren Buffett's principle: "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing"
  • • Why 95% of retail traders fail - they're like inexperienced rock climbers with no safety gear

Video 3: Real Example - Bank of Japan Case Study

The 18-Month USD/JPY Trade:

  • • April 2013: Bank of Japan announces massive quantitative easing program
  • • They gave traders a specific price target: 110.00 on USD/JPY
  • • Price moved from 92 to 96 in the first 24 hours - proving news isn't instantly priced in
  • • The full move took 18 months to reach the 110 target
  • • How QE works: printing money devalues currency and boosts economy
  • • This shows you can trade around a full-time job - moves play out over weeks and months

Video 4: Trading Sentiment & Safe Haven Flows

Understanding Market Sentiment:

  • • How sentiment creates short-term trading opportunities within longer-term trends
  • • Safe haven currencies (JPY, CHF, USD) strengthen during risk-off events
  • • Using sentiment shifts to time entries and exits on fundamental trades
  • • Why geopolitical events cause temporary moves that create buying opportunities
  • • Combining long-term fundamental bias with short-term sentiment for maximum profit

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